Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 38 Easter Road· Edinburgh Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30

Hibernian PPG 1.67

0-1 HIT CS5

Motherwell PPG 1.22

Home· +3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.4%

Odds: 2.56 EV: +3.4%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -3.3%

Away 31.4%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -17.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.85 -11.9%

Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 3.10 -15.4%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.65 -14.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian

1.32

Motherwell

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)