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Scotland - Premiership
Championship Group - 38
Falkirk Stadium· Falkirk
Saturday, May 16, 2026
11:30
Falkirk
PPG 1.37
2-5
MISS
Rangers
PPG 1.72
Home· +45.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.7%
Odds: 3.75
EV: +45.1%
Draw
25.6%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -1.6%
Away
35.7%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -34.0%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.0%
Odds: 1.62
-4.4%
Over 3.5
32.6%
Odds: 2.55
-16.9%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.55
-7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk
1.49
Rangers
1.39
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-7.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+45.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.37) vs Away GOOD (1.72)