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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 38 Falkirk Stadium· Falkirk Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Falkirk logo Falkirk PPG 1.37
2-5 MISS
Rangers logo Rangers PPG 1.72
Home· +45.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.7%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +45.1%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.6%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -34.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.62 -4.4%
Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 2.55 -16.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Falkirk
1.49
Rangers
1.39

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+45.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.37) vs Away GOOD (1.72)

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