Celtic vs Hearts Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 38 Celtic Park· Glasgow Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30

Celtic PPG 2.39

3-1 MISS

Hearts PPG 1.72

Away· +26.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.3%

Odds: 1.56 EV: -29.3%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +8.6%

Away 26.7%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +26.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.1% Odds: 1.55 -19.2%

Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: 2.35 -23.1%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Celtic

1.40

Hearts

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.39) > Away GOOD (1.72)