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Ahrobiznes V. vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 09:30

Ahrobiznes V.

PPG 2.15 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Viktoriya M.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-19.9%0-24.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.1%1-113.0%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.2%2-18.5%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.7%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 10.8%

#3 1–0✓ 14.1%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ahrobiznes V.1.3

Viktoriya M.0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AHROBIZNES V. · PPG 2.15

VIKTORIYA M. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=47.1%

Win probability 1X2

Ahrobiznes V. (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoriya M. (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ahrobiznes V. face Viktoriya M. in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ahrobiznes V. a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Viktoriya M. 25%, so Ahrobiznes V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ahrobiznes V. and 0.9 for Viktoriya M. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ahrobiznes V. are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.00 for Viktoriya M.. This match finished 1-0.

Ahrobiznes V. vs Viktoriya M. Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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