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Australia - Western Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 10 Saturday, May 16, 2026 08:00
Perth Glory B logo Perth Glory B PPG 1.50
1-0 MISS
Bayswater logo Bayswater PPG 1.00
Home· +21.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +21.0%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.9%
Away 39.6%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -27.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.36 -13.9%
Over 3.5 48.6% Odds: 1.83 -11.1%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.36 -15.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Perth Glory B
1.70
Bayswater
1.91

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+21.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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