Belmont Swansea vs Valentine Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 16, 2026 05:00

Belmont Swansea PPG 1.86

1-1 MISS

Valentine PPG 1.50

Over3.5· +19.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.5%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -13.9%

Draw 20.3%

Odds: 4.60 EV: -4.0%

Away 18.2%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -5.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.3% Odds: 1.33 -2.5%

Over 3.5 69.0% Odds: 1.73 +19.4%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.40 -12.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 4-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Belmont Swansea

3.40

Valentine

1.30

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 79%

BTTS/No 71%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 52.9%

Bet Hit 100% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away GOOD (1.50)