Adamstown R. vs Charlestown A. Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 16, 2026 04:00

Adamstown R. PPG 0.33

2-0 MISS

Charlestown A. PPG 1.40

Over3.5· +13.6% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.7%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -8.3%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.6%

Away 45.6%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -6.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.44 -8.8%

Over 3.5 54.9% Odds: 2.07 +13.6%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Adamstown R.

1.60

Charlestown A.

2.31

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.33)