Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 17 Oriel Park· Dundalk Friday, May 15, 2026 19:00

Dundalk PPG 1.75

1-0 MISS

Shamrock Rovers PPG 1.50

Home· +9.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +9.1%

Draw 25.0%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.5%

Away 39.9%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -13.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%

Over 3.5 29.3% Odds: 2.95 -8.1%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.60 -12.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundalk

1.21

Shamrock Rovers

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)