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Cordoba vs Albacete Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Matchday 40 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 19:00

Cordoba

PPG 1.63 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Albacete

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.4%0-25.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.2%1-112.6%1-27.7%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.9%2-18.5%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.1%3-13.8%3-22.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 62.9% 1.59 -40.4%

Draw 27.9% 25.0% 4.00 +7.0%

Away win 34.6% 19.2% 5.20 +79.9%

Over 2.5 50.8% 63.7% 1.57 -20.2%

Over 3.5 25.9% 41.7% 2.40 -22.7%

BTTS 52.6% 63.7% 1.57 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 71.8%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2✓ 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cordoba1.3

Albacete1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CORDOBA · PPG 1.63

ALBACETE · PPG 1.32

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

60%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.32)

Win probability 1X2

Cordoba (H) 37.5%

ODDS 1.59 · IMPLIED 62.9% EV -40.4%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +7.0%

Albacete (A) 34.6%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +79.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cordoba face Albacete in Spain - Segunda División on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cordoba a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Albacete 35%, so Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cordoba and 1.2 for Albacete (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cordoba are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.32 for Albacete. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +79.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Cordoba vs Albacete Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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