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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 16 Mounthawk Park· Tralee Friday, May 15, 2026 18:45
Kerry logo Kerry PPG 1.29
2-1 MISS
Wexford logo Wexford PPG 0.86
Home· +12.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +12.4%
Draw 31.8%
Odds: 3.15 EV: +0.2%
Away 33.7%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -24.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.7% Odds: 2.05 -28.9%
Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: 3.65 -31.1%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.75 -15.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerry
0.91
Wexford
1.03

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.86)

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