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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 17 Regional Sports Centre· Waterford Friday, May 15, 2026 18:45
Waterford logo Waterford PPG 0.71
2-2 MISS
Derry City logo Derry City PPG 0.88
Home· +18.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.9%
Odds: 4.55 EV: +18.9%
Draw 28.7%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +4.6%
Away 42.4%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -27.5%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.7% Odds: 1.85 -15.4%
Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.25 -22.9%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.80 -10.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-2
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Waterford
0.88
Derry City
1.37

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away POOR (0.88)

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