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Ireland - Premier Division
Regular Season - 17
Regional Sports Centre· Waterford
Friday, May 15, 2026
18:45
Waterford
PPG 0.71
2-2
MISS
Derry City
PPG 0.88
Home· +18.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.9%
Odds: 4.55
EV: +18.9%
Draw
28.7%
Odds: 3.75
EV: +4.6%
Away
42.4%
Odds: 1.71
EV: -27.5%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.7%
Odds: 1.85
-15.4%
Over 3.5
19.0%
Odds: 3.25
-22.9%
BTTS
49.7%
Odds: 1.80
-10.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford
0.88
Derry City
1.37
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away POOR (0.88)