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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 17 Richmond Park· Dublin Friday, May 15, 2026 18:45
St. Patricks logo St. Patricks PPG 2.38
0-1 MISS
Shelbourne logo Shelbourne PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +34.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.6%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -0.1%
Draw 25.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -6.7%
Away 22.0%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -8.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 2.00 +20.2%
Over 3.5 38.0% Odds: 3.55 +34.9%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.80 -1.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Patricks
2.12
Shelbourne
1.00

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +20.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+34.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.38) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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