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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 17 Dalymount Park· Dublin Friday, May 15, 2026 18:45
Bohemians logo Bohemians PPG 1.38
2-1 HIT CS4
Drogheda Utd logo Drogheda Utd PPG 1.14
Away· +32.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.51 EV: -22.4%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -1.5%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 6.50 EV: +32.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.90 -0.6%
Over 3.5 27.0% Odds: 3.25 -7.3%
BTTS 52.2% Odds: 1.91 -0.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bohemians
1.65
Drogheda Utd
0.98

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+32.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

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