Castellon vs Cadiz Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 40 Estadio Municipal de Castalia· Castellon Friday, May 15, 2026 18:30

Castellon PPG 2.05

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Cadiz PPG 1.00

Away· +69.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -32.8%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 5.30 EV: +21.1%

Away 22.0%

Odds: 9.80 EV: +69.4%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.44 -24.7%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.05 -25.1%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.73 -9.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Castellon

1.82

Cadiz

0.87

Model SuggestionHome -32.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+69.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.05) vs P(Home)=52.5%