Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.53 -3.1%
Over 3.5 52.6% Odds: 2.17 +14.1%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 1-3 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -3.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)