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Lausanne B vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 17:00

Lausanne B

PPG 1.27 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Biel-Bienne

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.6%0-23.9%0-33.9%0-4+6.2%1 1-01.5%1-14.6%1-26.8%1-36.9%1-4+10.8%2 2-01.3%2-14.0%2-25.9%2-36.0%2-4+9.4%3 3-00.8%3-12.3%3-23.4%3-33.4%3-4+5.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.5%4+-22.2%4+-32.2%4+-4+3.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 23.1% 4.33 -1.8%

Draw 20.3% 22.7% 4.40 -6.4%

Away win 57.3% 64.5% 1.55 -11.2%

Over 2.5 74.1% 76.9% 1.30 -3.7%

Over 3.5 69.6% 56.5% 1.77 +23.2%

BTTS 66.7% 74.1% 1.35 -10.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob66.7%

A 57% / xG 1.7-3.0 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.9%

#2 1–2 6.8%

#3 2–3 6.0%

#4 2–2✓ 5.9%

#5 1–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lausanne B1.7

Biel-Bienne3.0

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.1% · O3.5 PROB 69.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUSANNE B · PPG 1.27

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 1.60

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.27) vs Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Lausanne B (H) 22.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.8%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -6.4%

Biel-Bienne (A) 57.3%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne B face Biel-Bienne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne B a 22% chance, the draw 20% and Biel-Bienne 57%, so Biel-Bienne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lausanne B and 3.0 for Biel-Bienne (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne B are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.60 for Biel-Bienne. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Lausanne B vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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