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Damak vs Al Feiha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 33 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 16:15

Damak

PPG 0.94 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Feiha

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 53% chance

Model probability 52.1% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-110.8%0-26.8%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.2%1-112.9%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-17.7%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.1%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.5% 54.1% 1.85 -32.5%

Draw 28.1% 28.6% 3.50 -1.0%

Away win 35.4% 23.8% 4.20 +48.7%

Over 2.5 47.4% 47.6% 2.10 -0.5%

Over 3.5 23.4% 26.0% 3.85 -5.9%

BTTS 52.1% 52.6% 1.90 -1.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.1%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 10.8%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Damak1.2

Al Feiha1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DAMAK · PPG 0.94

AL FEIHA · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

Chance this pick lands

53%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.94), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Damak (H) 36.5%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -32.5%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -1.0%

Al Feiha (A) 35.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +48.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Damak face Al Feiha in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Damak a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Al Feiha 35%, so Damak are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Damak and 1.3 for Al Feiha (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Damak are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 0.88 for Al Feiha. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +48.7%. This match finished 3-0.

Damak vs Al Feiha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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