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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 16:00

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.83 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Dila Gori

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.5%0-112.8%0-24.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.7%1-112.3%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.5%2-15.9%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.0%3-11.9%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 46.5% 2.15 -8.0%

Draw 33.2% 33.3% 3.00 -0.4%

Away win 24.1% 33.3% 3.00 -16.6%

Over 2.5 34.7% 48.1% 2.08 -27.8%

Over 3.5 7.6% 31.8% 3.14 -45.7%

BTTS 45.9% 57.1% 1.75 -19.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.9%

H 43% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.5%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torpedo Kutaisi1.0

Dila Gori0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 7.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.83

DILA GORI · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Torpedo Kutaisi (H) 42.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -8.0%

Draw 33.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -0.4%

Dila Gori (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi face Dila Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Dila Gori 24%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.6 for Dila Gori (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Kutaisi are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.00 for Dila Gori. This match finished 2-1.

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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