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China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 12 Beijing Workers' Stadium· Beijing Friday, May 15, 2026 12:00
Beijing Guoan logo Beijing Guoan PPG 1.00
4-2 MISS
Qingdao Hainiu logo Qingdao Hainiu PPG 0.80
Away· +139.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.9%
Odds: 1.34 EV: -42.5%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 4.65 EV: +11.4%
Away 31.5%
Odds: 7.60 EV: +139.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.45 -13.9%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.15 -22.2%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.62 -5.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Beijing Guoan
1.64
Qingdao Hainiu
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+139.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)

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