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Italy - Serie B
Regular Season - 35
Stadio Alberto Braglia· Modena
Saturday, April 18, 2026
13:00
Modena
PPG 1.65
1-2
MISS
Frosinone
PPG 2.00
Home· +11.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
44.6%
Odds: 2.50
EV: +11.5%
Draw
26.6%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -8.2%
Away
28.8%
Odds: 2.66
EV: -23.4%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.3%
Odds: 1.65
-25.3%
Over 3.5
24.0%
Odds: 2.60
-37.6%
BTTS
49.9%
Odds: 1.50
-25.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Modena
1.41
Frosinone
1.08
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: GOOD (1.65) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)