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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 35 Stadio Danilo Martelli· Mantova Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00
Mantova logo Mantova PPG 1.59
0-2 MISS
Avellino logo Avellino PPG 0.82
Home· +38.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.0%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +38.6%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -33.7%
Away 16.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -46.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.1% Odds: 2.00 +16.2%
Over 3.5 35.7% Odds: 3.50 +24.9%
BTTS 53.7% Odds: 1.73 -7.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Mantova
2.06
Avellino
0.95

Model Suggestion

Home +38.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away POOR (0.82)

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