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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 21 Estadio Tigo La Huerta· Asuncion Thursday, May 14, 2026 20:00
Libertad logo Libertad PPG 2.00
0-0 MISS
2 de Mayo logo 2 de Mayo PPG 1.10
Over3.5· +21.1% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.3%
Odds: 1.78 EV: +5.5%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -14.8%
Away 18.2%
Odds: 4.30 EV: -13.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 2.00 +18.8%
Over 3.5 34.1% Odds: 3.55 +21.1%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.83 -4.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Libertad
2.13
2 de Mayo
0.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +18.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+21.1%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.3%

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