Bari vs Venezia Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 35 Stadio San Nicola· Bari Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00

Bari PPG 1.35

0-3 HIT CS5

Venezia PPG 1.59

Home· +28.1% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.3%

Odds: 7.00 EV: +28.1%

Draw 22.3%

Odds: 4.35 EV: -3.0%

Away 59.4%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -14.5%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.0% Odds: 1.57 -16.8%

Over 3.5 30.7% Odds: 2.40 -26.3%

BTTS 51.2% Odds: 1.67 -14.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-3 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Bari

0.93

Venezia

1.87

Model SuggestionAway -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+28.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away GOOD (1.59)