Saudi-Arabia - Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium· DammamThursday, May 14, 202618:00
Al QuadisiyaPPG 2.25
2-0HIT MostLikelyScore
Al HazmPPG 1.00
Draw· +25.5%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home64.4%
Odds: 1.22EV: -21.4%
Draw21.6%
Odds: 6.60EV: +25.5%
Away14.0%
Odds: 10.00EV: +24.0%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.563.1%Odds: 1.25-21.1%
Over 3.544.1%Odds: 1.67-26.4%
BTTS52.4%Odds: 1.57-17.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✔
2nd3-0✘
3rd2-1✘
4th1-1✘
5th3-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Quadisiya
2.58
Al Hazm
0.81
Model Suggestion
Home-21.4%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Draw (+25.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=64.4%