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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 33 Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium· Dammam Thursday, May 14, 2026 18:00
Al Quadisiya logo Al Quadisiya PPG 2.25
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Al Hazm logo Al Hazm PPG 1.00
Draw· +25.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.4%
Odds: 1.22 EV: -21.4%
Draw 21.6%
Odds: 6.60 EV: +25.5%
Away 14.0%
Odds: 10.00 EV: +24.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: 1.25 -21.1%
Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: 1.67 -26.4%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.57 -17.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Quadisiya
2.58
Al Hazm
0.81

Model Suggestion

Home -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+25.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=64.4%

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