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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Thursday, May 14, 2026 15:55 
Al Fateh PPG 1.38 
Al Najma PPG 0.19
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Thursday, May 14, 2026 15:55 Al Fateh PPG 1.382-0 HIT CS3
Al Najma PPG 0.19Away· +19.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.38 -17.1%
Over 3.5 38.2% Odds: 1.95 -25.5%
BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.48 -15.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✔
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Fateh 2.07
Al Najma 1.07
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -17.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -17.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 54 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -4.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=52.5%