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Austria Wien B vs Kapfenberger Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 15:00

Austria Wien B

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kapfenberger

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-17.5%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.0%1-111.9%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.5%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.0%3-15.0%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 51.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.2% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.1%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Wien B1.6

Kapfenberger1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA WIEN B · PPG 1.43

KAPFENBERGER · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Austria Wien B (H) 51.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kapfenberger (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Wien B face Kapfenberger in Austria - 2. Liga on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Wien B a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Kapfenberger 24%, so Austria Wien B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Austria Wien B and 1.0 for Kapfenberger (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Wien B are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.71 for Kapfenberger. This match finished 1-2.

Austria Wien B vs Kapfenberger Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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