St. Polten vs WSPG Wels Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 30 NV Arena· St. Pölten Thursday, May 14, 2026 15:00

St. Polten PPG 2.29

1-0 HIT CS4

WSPG Wels PPG 0.93

Away· +37.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -28.6%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +8.8%

Away 22.0%

Odds: 7.40 EV: +37.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.62 -15.3%

Over 3.5 31.3% Odds: 2.55 -20.2%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Polten

1.85

WSPG Wels

0.97

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=52.5%