Kapfenberger vs St. Polten Prediction & Tips

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Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 29 Alpenstadion· Kapfenberg Friday, May 8, 2026 16:00

Kapfenberger PPG 1.38

0-3 MISS

St. Polten PPG 1.38

Home· +19.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +19.5%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +8.0%

Away 45.4%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -29.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.57 -17.1%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.50 -18.4%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.62 -11.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kapfenberger

1.03

St. Polten

1.64

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+19.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.38)