Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.57 -17.9%
Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 2.50 -18.1%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.57 -18.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✔
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -17.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.31) vs P(Home)=51.8%