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Liefering vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:00

Liefering

PPG 1.93 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-19.6%0-27.9%0-34.3%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.0%1-111.5%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.2%2-16.9%2-25.7%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.7%3-12.8%3-22.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.0% 31.3% 3.20 -4.3%

Draw 27.2% 27.0% 3.70 +0.4%

Away win 43.8% 50.0% 2.00 -12.4%

Over 2.5 53.1% 58.8% 1.70 -9.7%

Over 3.5 31.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.8%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.7%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 9.6%

#4 0–2 7.9%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liefering1.2

Admira Wacker1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LIEFERING · PPG 1.93

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Liefering (H) 29.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.3%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +0.4%

Admira Wacker (A) 43.8%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -12.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liefering face Admira Wacker in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liefering a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Admira Wacker 44%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Liefering and 1.6 for Admira Wacker (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liefering are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.57 for Admira Wacker. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Liefering vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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