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A. Salzburg vs A. Lustenau Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:00

A. Salzburg

PPG 1.46 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

A. Lustenau

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away GOOD (1.54)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-112.2%0-27.4%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.9%2-17.2%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.1%3-12.6%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 35.9% — — —

Over 2.5 46.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 0–1 12.2%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Salzburg1.1

A. Lustenau1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.8%

Form & verdict PPG

A. SALZBURG · PPG 1.46

A. LUSTENAU · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

A. Salzburg (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Lustenau (A) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Salzburg face A. Lustenau in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Salzburg a 36% chance, the draw 28% and A. Lustenau 36%, so A. Lustenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for A. Salzburg and 1.2 for A. Lustenau (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Salzburg are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.54 for A. Lustenau. This match finished 2-2.

A. Salzburg vs A. Lustenau Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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