Today / Austria - 2. Liga / A. Klagenfurt vs Liefering

A. Klagenfurt vs Liefering Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 15:00

A. Klagenfurt

PPG 1.23 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Liefering

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-110.9%0-27.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.4%1-112.7%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.5%2-17.4%2-25.0%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.1%3-12.9%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 23.1% 4.33 +56.8%

Draw 28.1% 26.0% 3.85 +4.9%

Away win 35.7% 59.9% 1.67 -40.4%

Over 2.5 47.5% 63.7% 1.57 -25.4%

Over 3.5 24.6% 41.7% 2.40 -24.6%

BTTS 52.6% 65.4% 1.53 -19.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.1%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 1–2 8.6%

#5 1–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Klagenfurt1.2

Liefering1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.6%

Form & verdict PPG

A. KLAGENFURT · PPG 1.23

LIEFERING · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

A. Klagenfurt (H) 36.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +56.8%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +4.9%

Liefering (A) 35.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -40.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Klagenfurt face Liefering in Austria - 2. Liga on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Klagenfurt a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Liefering 36%, so A. Klagenfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for A. Klagenfurt and 1.3 for Liefering (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Klagenfurt are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.15 for Liefering. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +56.8%. This match finished 2-3.

A. Klagenfurt vs Liefering Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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