Today / Austria - 2. Liga / Amstetten vs A. Klagenfurt

Amstetten vs A. Klagenfurt Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:00

Amstetten

PPG 1.71 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

A. Klagenfurt

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.2%0-24.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.4%1-112.3%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-19.2%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-14.6%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% 57.1% 1.75 -16.9%

Draw 26.9% 27.4% 3.65 -1.1%

Away win 25.6% 25.0% 4.00 +1.4%

Over 2.5 46.5% 56.5% 1.77 -17.7%

Over 3.5 24.1% 33.9% 2.95 -17.3%

BTTS 52.3% 59.9% 1.67 -12.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 0–0 8.2%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Amstetten1.5

A. Klagenfurt1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AMSTETTEN · PPG 1.71

A. KLAGENFURT · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Amstetten (H) 47.5%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -16.9%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -1.1%

A. Klagenfurt (A) 25.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Amstetten face A. Klagenfurt in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amstetten a 48% chance, the draw 27% and A. Klagenfurt 26%, so Amstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Amstetten and 1.0 for A. Klagenfurt (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amstetten are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.43 for A. Klagenfurt. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Amstetten vs A. Klagenfurt Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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