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Admira Wacker vs Floridsdorfer Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 15:00

Admira Wacker

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Floridsdorfer

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-113.4%0-28.0%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.1%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.5%2-16.6%2-23.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 50.0% 2.00 -29.2%

Draw 29.6% 30.3% 3.30 -1.4%

Away win 34.9% 29.0% 3.45 +20.4%

Over 2.5 45.4% 48.8% 2.05 -6.9%

Over 3.5 17.8% 27.0% 3.70 -20.5%

BTTS 49.7% 55.6% 1.80 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.7%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 1–0✓ 11.1%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Admira Wacker1.0

Floridsdorfer1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 2.00

FLORIDSDORFER · PPG 2.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.15)

Win probability 1X2

Admira Wacker (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -29.2%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -1.4%

Floridsdorfer (A) 34.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Admira Wacker face Floridsdorfer in Austria - 2. Liga on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Admira Wacker a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Floridsdorfer 35%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Admira Wacker and 1.2 for Floridsdorfer (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Admira Wacker are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.15 for Floridsdorfer. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Admira Wacker vs Floridsdorfer Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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