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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 14 Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30
Orlando City logo Orlando City PPG 1.20
4-3 MISS
Philadelphia logo Philadelphia PPG 0.57
Home· +36.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +36.7%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -2.2%
Away 29.5%
Odds: 2.12 EV: -22.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.70 +2.2%
Over 3.5 41.3% Odds: 2.80 +15.6%
BTTS 59.4% Odds: 1.60 -5.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City
1.79
Philadelphia
1.48

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +2.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+36.7%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.57)

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