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USA - Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 14
Wednesday, May 13, 2026
23:30
Orlando City
PPG 1.20
4-3
MISS
Philadelphia
PPG 0.57
Home· +36.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
44.1%
Odds: 3.10
EV: +36.7%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.65
EV: -2.2%
Away
29.5%
Odds: 2.12
EV: -22.5%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
60.1%
Odds: 1.70
+2.2%
Over 3.5
41.3%
Odds: 2.80
+15.6%
BTTS
59.4%
Odds: 1.60
-5.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City
1.79
Philadelphia
1.48
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+2.2%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Home(+36.7%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.57)