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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 14 Sports Illustrated Stadium· Harrison Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30
New York RB logo New York RB PPG 1.40
3-2 MISS
Columbus Crew logo Columbus Crew PPG 0.67
Over3.5· +17.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%
Odds: 2.72 EV: +12.9%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.0%
Away 33.7%
Odds: 2.24 EV: -24.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.48 -6.3%
Over 3.5 53.2% Odds: 2.20 +17.0%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.42 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

New York RB
2.01
Columbus Crew
1.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.67)

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