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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 30 Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan· Vlaardingen Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:30
Zwaluwen logo Zwaluwen PPG 1.57
3-1 MISS
SteDoCo logo SteDoCo PPG 1.07
Home· +28.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.2%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +28.4%
Draw 20.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -25.6%
Away 15.7%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -54.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.9% Odds: 1.60 -7.4%
Over 3.5 35.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 52.8% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zwaluwen
2.08
SteDoCo
0.92

Model Suggestion

Home +28.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

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