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USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30 
New England PPG 3.00 
Nashville SC PPG 1.83
USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30 New England PPG 3.000-3 MISS
Nashville SC PPG 1.83Draw· +0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.4% Odds: 1.83 -15.1%
Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: 3.10 -22.6%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.65 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
New England 1.15
Nashville SC 1.15
Model Suggestion
BTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=36.3%