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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 14 TQL Stadium· Cincinnati Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati PPG 2.00
3-5 MISS
Inter Miami logo Inter Miami PPG 2.38
Over3.5· +25.3% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +10.4%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -2.7%
Away 39.9%
Odds: 2.02 EV: -19.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.1% Odds: 1.30 -3.7%
Over 3.5 69.6% Odds: 1.80 +25.3%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.30 -13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Cincinnati
2.31
Inter Miami
2.43

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.38)

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