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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 14 Saputo Stadium· Montréal Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:30
CF Montreal logo CF Montreal PPG 2.25
2-2 HIT CS3
Portland logo Portland PPG 0.50
Over3.5· +22.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -2.1%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -3.4%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -8.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.55 -1.9%
Over 3.5 52.0% Odds: 2.35 +22.2%
BTTS 62.7% Odds: 1.48 -7.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal
2.22
Portland
1.54

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -1.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=51.5%

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