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USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:15 
Charlotte PPG 1.83 
New York City PPG 1.00
USA - Major League Soccer Wednesday, May 13, 2026 23:15 Charlotte PPG 1.830-1 MISS
New York City PPG 1.00Over3.5· +22.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.70 +4.9%
Over 3.5 43.6% Odds: 2.80 +22.1%
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.57 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte 1.90
New York City 1.48
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +4.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+22.1%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+22.1%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=48.0%