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Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Championship Group · Matchday 37 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 19:00

Rangers

PPG 2.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hibernian

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-16.3%0-23.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.3%1-111.1%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.8%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.4%3-15.8%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.8%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 65.8% 1.52 -21.9%

Draw 25.0% 22.7% 4.40 +6.0%

Away win 23.6% 18.5% 5.40 +16.5%

Over 2.5 53.0% 63.7% 1.57 -16.8%

Over 3.5 31.8% 41.7% 2.40 -23.7%

BTTS 54.6% 60.6% 1.65 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -14.1%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers1.8

Hibernian1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS · PPG 2.11

HIBERNIAN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

59%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.11) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Rangers (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.52 · IMPLIED 65.8% EV -21.9%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +6.0%

Hibernian (A) 23.6%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers face Hibernian in Scotland - Premiership on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Hibernian 24%, so Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rangers and 1.1 for Hibernian (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.33 for Hibernian. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Match Preview & Prediction

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