Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 37 Fir Park· Motherwell Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00

Motherwell PPG 2.00

2-3 MISS

Celtic PPG 1.83

Home· +98.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +98.0%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +13.8%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 1.66 EV: -34.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.4% Odds: 1.55 -26.5%

Over 3.5 22.6% Odds: 2.35 -28.1%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.57 -18.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell

1.39

Celtic

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS -18.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+98.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.83)