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Scotland - Premiership Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00 
Hearts PPG 2.56 
Falkirk PPG 1.35
Scotland - Premiership Wednesday, May 13, 2026 19:00 Hearts PPG 2.563-0 MISS
Falkirk PPG 1.35Away· +31.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.65 -13.7%
Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 2.60 -16.6%
BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.80 -8.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hearts 1.91
Falkirk 0.75
Model Suggestion
Home -24.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs P(Home)=53.3%