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Boston Legacy W vs Orlando Pride W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 23:00

Boston Legacy W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Orlando Pride W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-110.9%0-29.4%0-35.3%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.6%1-111.3%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.4%2-15.9%2-25.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.2%3-12.0%3-21.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.5% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 46.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 29.8% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -7.8%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.6%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 9.4%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boston Legacy W1.0

Orlando Pride W1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.80

ORLANDO PRIDE W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Boston Legacy W (H) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orlando Pride W (A) 46.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boston Legacy W face Orlando Pride W in USA - NWSL Women on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston Legacy W a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Orlando Pride W 47%, so Orlando Pride W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Boston Legacy W and 1.7 for Orlando Pride W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston Legacy W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.33 for Orlando Pride W. This match finished 2-1.

Boston Legacy W vs Orlando Pride W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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