Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 37 Rugby Park· Kilmarnock Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:45

Kilmarnock PPG 1.22

3-1 MISS

Dundee FC PPG 0.61

Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -14.3%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.2%

Away 27.6%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +1.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.00 -9.4%

BTTS 53.5% Odds: 1.70 -9.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kilmarnock

1.51

Dundee FC

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.61)