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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 37 Tannadice Park· Dundee Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:45
Dundee Utd logo Dundee Utd PPG 1.50
0-0 MISS
Livingston logo Livingston PPG 0.47
Away· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -11.1%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -2.3%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +1.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.65 -2.0%
Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: 2.62 -5.4%
BTTS 58.1% Odds: 1.62 -5.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee Utd
1.93
Livingston
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=51.4%

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