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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 37 Pittodrie Stadium· Aberdeen Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:45
Aberdeen logo Aberdeen PPG 1.44
0-2 MISS
St. Mirren logo St. Mirren PPG 0.56
Home· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.3%
Odds: 2.12 EV: +6.6%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -4.7%
Away 23.0%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -15.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 1.85 -13.6%
Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: 3.25 -20.2%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.73 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen
1.47
St. Mirren
0.85

Model Suggestion

Home +6.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=50.3%

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