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Scotland - Premiership
Relegation Group - 37
Pittodrie Stadium· Aberdeen
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
18:45
Aberdeen
PPG 1.44
0-2
MISS
St. Mirren
PPG 0.56
Home· +6.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.3%
Odds: 2.12
EV: +6.6%
Draw
26.7%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -4.7%
Away
23.0%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -15.2%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.7%
Odds: 1.85
-13.6%
Over 3.5
20.4%
Odds: 3.25
-20.2%
BTTS
49.7%
Odds: 1.73
-14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Aberdeen
1.47
St. Mirren
0.85
Model Suggestion
Home
+6.6%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=50.3%