Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 King Saud University Stadium· Riyadh Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:00

Al Nassr PPG 2.80

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Al Hilal PPG 2.47

Home· +1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.9%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +1.0%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -7.3%

Away 29.9%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -7.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.45 -12.9%

Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: 2.10 -11.0%

BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.36 -19.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Nassr

1.81

Al Hilal

1.50

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.80) > Away EXCELLENT (2.47)