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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 32 Al-Hazem Club Stadium· Ar Rass Tuesday, May 12, 2026 16:20
Al Kholood logo Al Kholood PPG 0.73
0-0 HIT CS5
Al Akhdoud logo Al Akhdoud PPG 0.27
Away· +17.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -20.2%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +3.3%
Away 23.4%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +17.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.62 -3.8%
Over 3.5 34.8% Odds: 2.55 -11.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Kholood
1.92
Al Akhdoud
1.06

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.73) > Away POOR (0.27)

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